Nowcast for China as of April 13, 2020

Parameters

Incubation Period: gamma, mean = 5.89, shape = 2.4265511

Onset-to-reporting Period: lognormal, mean = 0.2, sd = 0.45

Onset-to-death Period: gamma, mean = 16, shape = 4)

Infection Fatality Rate: 0.009

Ascertainment for China